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CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.In the first 11 months of the North Stock Exchange, the issuance scale of new shares decreased by nearly 770% year-on-year, and the new shares rose by over 100% on the first day. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 20 new shares listed on the North Stock Exchange, and the total amount of funds raised was about 4.175 billion yuan, down by nearly 70% year-on-year. The scale of new shares is generally small, and the number of new shares raised less than 200 million yuan accounts for 65% of the total number of new shares. The share price of 70% new shares rose over 100% on the first day of listing. Among them, the share price of Tongguan Mining Construction rose by 731.41% on the first day of listing, and the share prices of Shengye Electric, Keli and Wanyuantong rose by over 300% on the first day. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of projects underwritten by CITIC Jiantou Securities was the highest, with a total project scale of about 699 million yuan, followed by First Venture Securities and Minsheng Securities. (Xinhua Finance)

South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)The yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.075%.

Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.Liberal Arts Garden: The company undertook the garden project of Jimu Science and Technology Park and did not participate in robot-related projects. Liberal Arts Garden (002775) replied to investors' questions on the interactive platform on December 12, saying that the project currently undertaken by the company is the green belt garden subcontracting project of the west/north garden site of Jimu Science and Technology Park Project of Dongguan Jimu Machinery Co., Ltd., and did not participate in robot-related projects.